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Richard DesLonde's avatar

Good article, John.

I sometimes remind my wife that it's much easier out there now because "average" is at such a low level of performance now that anyone who performs at the old standard of average (even from 10 years ago) is now "outstanding". Our kids will have it much easier than we did for standing out from the crowd.

I agree with your assessment of machines ("AI" and LLM and ML). Soulless corporations might rely on them more and more, but not to their, or anyone else's, benefit - only in order to seek increased "profits". The problem is analogous to the fallacy American manufacturing fell for in outsourcing everything to China - there wasn't really the pretended benefit in quality or even profit, only a shifting around of beans for the bean counters. And in the end the result, gutting American manufacturing, was detrimental even to the companies who participated in it.

AI isn't really AI. I hate the common misuse of the word. It should be called something like "Predictive Modeling". Contrary to what most technologists believe, it never will be. General AI is a myth that will be chased to the detriment of all. The "AI" we do have and will continue getting more of will execute an incestuous, rapidly increasing cycle of lower and lower quality output. AI cannot create, and relies entirely on creative information (created by humans). As humans create less information (because we will rely on AI more and more), the quality will degrade. Cycles of AI being trained on it's own output will lower the quality until it's fairly useless, or at least very suboptimal.

I see it already. White papers, news articles, studies, etc. all written by AI (it's very obvious) and the quality is getting worse.

I could cry over it but instead I take a defiant stance and I welcome it - bring it on. The creative humans left will be outstanding and in high demand. I'm preparing my kids for this.

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Daniel Szuc's avatar

Performance towards what outcome?

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